We Need to Talk About Inflation
Stephen D King With the title clearly a take on the Lionel Shriver book, “We must talk about Kevin”, one is immediately warned to approach Stephen King’s book with trepidation. Like Kevin, inflation in this book is bad, particularly if out of control. And like Kevin’s parents, those responsible for keeping inflation in check should be made to read and understand the warning signs early enough and act decisively to tame it. Otherwise, it all ends in tragedy. Unless of course we learn the lessons – 14 of them according to King, and not just from the recent crises but going back 2,000 years. So we can live happily ever after and in one piece, unlike the characters in Lionel Shriver’s tale. Well- that at least is the conclusion one gets to when reading King’s book. There are some lighter moments like the recurring theme of the love/hate relationship between Richard Burton and Elisabeth Taylor to characterise what is going on between monetary authorities and the fiscal side of the equation. Periods of harmony are great. Pulling in opposite directions proves disastrous. And King offers lots of historical examples as to when things went well on the inflation front and when they didn’t. Some interesting conclusions though. In King’s view the argument used by central banks against tightening, that it was all just ‘transitory’, was fuelled by central banks having presided over a low inflation environment for nearly two decades, falling victim of their own anti-inflation propaganda. As a result, serious mistakes were made when circumstances suddenly changed. We saw the impact of the supply and demand imbalances when Covid restrictions ended and then the extra pressures on energy and food prices with the war in Ukraine. But in King’s view the reappearance of inflation in the last couple of […]